- September 24, 2026
- Posted by: Dave Kurlan
- Categories: Analogies, Baseball and Sales, Understanding the Sales Force
Don’t Throw the Changeup Until the Fastball Has Been Established
Salespeople love to talk about playing dumb.
They heard it in a training room, repeated it in a sales meeting, and now they treat it like a strategy. The problem is they don’t know when to stop, and they don’t know how to do it so that it shows expertise instead of someone who doesn’t belong in the room.
Stay there too long and you don’t sound curious. You sound like you don’t know what you’re talking about. Lead with everything you know, and you sound like every other salesperson who couldn’t wait to prove they belonged in the room.
Pedro Martinez didn’t have that problem.
Pedro had a changeup that could finish an at-bat. The batter knew he had it. But Pedro wouldn’t throw it until the fastball was established. Start the at-bat with the changeup and it was just a slower pitch with movement. But after two high fastballs with velocity, the changeup ended the at-bat.
Pedro didn’t show the weapon because he had it. He showed it only when it would end the at-bat.
Whether it’s sales or baseball, that’s the skill.
Most salespeople do one of two things instead:
- They offer up the sales version of a first-pitch changeup. Ten minutes in, they’re explaining their methodology, the differentiator, the case study, and the reason they were worth the meeting. Defenses go up. The prospect starts comparing them to the last person who “educated” them. Expertise shown too early doesn’t land as expertise. It lands as a pitch.
- They never use it. They heard “play dumb” and they stay there. Help me understand. Walk me through that. That’s interesting. It’s useful for a while, until the prospect needs a grown-up in the room and all they get is another question. They don’t think you’re curious. They think you don’t get it.
The great salespeople don’t use either approach.
They are not dumb.
They are not trying to be the smartest person in the room.
They know the answer but they wait for the right time. The wait is what makes the knowledge land.
The fastball is the questioning. Not dummy questions. Real ones. The kind that make the prospect think, “I thought that was the problem but it was only a symptom.” You don’t have to announce that you know everything. You show it with your best questions.
Compared to what?
If this has been going on for two years, why is it a problem now?
What is that costing you?
How soon do you need this to be solved?
Who else cares about this?
Those are fastballs. They require you to know something.
The changeup is the moment you finally summarize and draw your conclusion. After they’ve talked, after the problem has a number on it, after they believe you heard them, you throw it. Not a speech. Not a deck. One conclusion that ends the at-bat.
“This isn’t a CRM problem. You’ve replaced the CRM twice. It’s that nobody in the building will pick up the phone.”
That’s the changeup. It only works if the fastball has already been established. Throw that sentence in the first four minutes and you’re a know-it-all. Throw it after they’ve told you about the two failed implementations, the missed quota, and the VP who still thinks the issue is the software, and you just became the only person in the room who understood the conversation.
Pedro’s changeup worked because it looked like the fastball until it didn’t. That’s the differentiator. The insight should arrive in the same motion as the question. If it looks like you switched into presentation mode, you tipped the pitch.
This sits next to a consultative approach, but it isn’t the same thing. Diagnosing is what you do. Timing is when you let them see that you already knew where this was going.
If you don’t have a changeup, the wait only makes that more obvious.
Most salespeople can’t stand the waiting. They have the weapon and they want credit for it. So they show it. Early. They dump what they know because holding it feels like they’re wasting it. That’s ego, not selling. The bottom 75% of all salespeople can’t stand not being seen as the expert in the first ten minutes. The best can afford to wait until the fastball has been established.
Then they throw the pitch they came to throw.
